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To reverse a decade of damaging total factor productivity, regional labour market policy is shifting from basic job creation to managing active labor force shifts. Governments and employers are scaling short, modular training programmes and micro-credentials in information analytics and digital operations to equip employees for emerging roles. Workplace-based knowing and apprenticeship-style paths are ending up being more common as companies incorporate AI tools into everyday workflows.
With oil costs forecasted to typical $55-60 per barrel in 2026, local governments are heightening their focus on expenditure discipline and personal capital mobilisation. Financial policy is pivoting toward the monetisation of state-owned possessions in logistics, utilities, and desalination to redirect funds toward higher-impact investments. While borrowing by means of sukuk and sustainability-linked bonds is expected to increase to fund strategic deficits, the focus stays on enhancing non-oil revenue frameworks.
PwC Middle East economic policy and technique partner Jing Teow stated: "Having currently mobilised capital and policy at scale, GCC governments are now focused on shipment. In 2026, the concern is reinforcing economic strength through more protected trade and investment relationships, effective AI release, handled workforce shifts and disciplined financial policy in a more difficult and fragmented worldwide environment.".
Saudi Arabia and UAE are poised to lead the Gulf region's economic growth in 2026, supported by strong private-sector performance, resilient domestic need and restored financial investment momentum, according to the most recent ICAEW Economic Insight Q4 2025 report, produced by Oxford Economics. The GCC is anticipated to surpass most global regions peers next year, with local GDP forecast to grow by 4.4%. Throughout the GCC, non-energy activity is predicted to expand by 4.1% in 2026, driven by strong labour markets, enhancing credit conditions and increasing financial investment in innovation and AI-related infrastructure.
Oil incomes will be under pressure in the first half of 2026, production is expected to rise once again in the second half of 2026, supporting the area's medium-term outlook, it stated. Saudi Arabia will stay a significant contributor to GCC momentum, with GDP forecast to grow 4.3% in 2026.
Development will be supported by commercial expansion and policy reforms, including alleviated foreign ownership rules that aim to promote further investment. The fiscal deficit is predicted to broaden to 5.6% of GDP next year amid softer oil rates, while the recent five-year lease freeze in Riyadh intends to reduce inflationary pressures, though it may constrain future real estate supply.
Strong domestic fundamentalsThe UAE is likewise positioned for another strong year of efficiency, with GDP projection to rise 5.6% in 2026 as non-oil sectors continue to broaden. Tourism, trade and monetary services remain essential growth drivers, supported by population development and sustained domestic need. Dubai's economy grew 4.4% in the very first half of 2025, showing broad-based non-oil strength.
Oil production is expected to choose up again in the second half of 2026, matching continuous investment in facilities, innovation and international trade collaborations. Hanadi Khalife, the Head of Middle East, ICAEW, said: "This quarter's outlook strengthens how far the GCC has actually been available in building varied, durable and internationally competitive economies.
The Competitive Advantage of Modernized Shared SolutionsScott Livermore, ICAEW Economic Advisor, and Chief Financial Expert and Handling Director, Oxford Economics Middle East, stated: "Saudi Arabia and the UAE are entering 2026 with strong foundations. Saudi non-oil activity is acquiring rate, supported by robust demand and increasing financial investment, even as financial pressures increase.""The UAE continues to gain from strong domestic basics, a sharp uplift in federal government spending and continual diversification efforts.
What differentiates 2026 from preceding years is not simply the velocity of technological change, though that velocity is real, however rather an essential shift in how business envisage their GCCs' function. The is expected to grow to four hundred thirteen billion dollars by 2040, but this development masks a more extensive change.
Instead, they ask whether these centers drive development, own profit-and-loss obligation, and add to competitive differentiation. In 2026, the most effective GCCs will behave like internal startups, nimble, cross-functional, insight-driven, and deeply lined up with worldwide service outcomes. This shift from execution to ownership represents maybe the single most significant tactical recalibration in the GCC design's development.
This week, we're assembling more than 3000 meetings in between investors and 119 Gulf-listed business with a combined worth of $2.4 trillion at the HSBC GCC Exchanges Conference 2026, in London. We're uniting investors, companies, exchanges, and policymakers to discuss what is changing in the area, and what comes next, consisting of the growth and ongoing development of the Gulf's capital markets, and the region's growing role in worldwide networks of capital and trade.
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