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To reverse a years of deteriorating total factor performance, local labour market policy is moving from simple job development to managing active labor force transitions. Federal governments and employers are scaling short, modular training programs and micro-credentials in information analytics and digital operations to gear up employees for emerging functions. Workplace-based learning and apprenticeship-style pathways are ending up being more common as companies incorporate AI tools into everyday workflows.
With oil prices anticipated to average $55-60 per barrel in 2026, regional governments are magnifying their focus on expenditure discipline and private capital mobilisation. Fiscal policy is pivoting toward the monetisation of state-owned assets in logistics, utilities, and desalination to redirect funds towards higher-impact financial investments. While borrowing through sukuk and sustainability-linked bonds is anticipated to increase to fund tactical deficits, the focus remains on enhancing non-oil income structures.
PwC Middle East economic policy and method partner Jing Teow said: "Having already mobilised capital and policy at scale, GCC governments are now focused on delivery. In 2026, the top priority is reinforcing economic resilience through more safe trade and financial investment relationships, effective AI deployment, handled workforce shifts and disciplined fiscal policy in a more tough and fragmented worldwide environment.".
Saudi Arabia and UAE are poised to lead the Gulf region's financial growth in 2026, supported by strong private-sector performance, resilient domestic need and restored financial investment momentum, according to the current ICAEW Economic Insight Q4 2025 report, produced by Oxford Economics. The GCC is expected to surpass most international areas peers next year, with regional GDP projection to grow by 4.4%. Across the GCC, non-energy activity is predicted to expand by 4.1% in 2026, driven by strong labour markets, enhancing credit conditions and increasing investment in innovation and AI-related facilities.
Oil incomes will be under pressure in the very first half of 2026, production is anticipated to rise again in the 2nd half of 2026, supporting the region's medium-term outlook, it mentioned. Saudi Arabia will remain a major contributor to GCC momentum, with GDP forecast to grow 4.3% in 2026.
Growth will be supported by industrial growth and policy reforms, including eased foreign ownership guidelines that aim to promote additional financial investment. The financial deficit is forecasted to broaden to 5.6% of GDP next year in the middle of softer oil rates, while the recent five-year rent freeze in Riyadh aims to reduce inflationary pressures, though it may constrain future real estate supply.
Strong domestic fundamentalsThe UAE is also positioned for another strong year of performance, with GDP forecast to increase 5.6% in 2026 as non-oil sectors continue to expand. Tourist, trade and financial services remain key growth motorists, supported by population development and sustained domestic demand. Dubai's economy grew 4.4% in the very first half of 2025, showing broad-based non-oil strength.
Oil production is expected to select up once again in the 2nd half of 2026, complementing continuous financial investment in infrastructure, innovation and international trade partnerships. Hanadi Khalife, the Head of Middle East, ICAEW, said: "This quarter's outlook enhances how far the GCC has can be found in building varied, durable and worldwide competitive economies.
Scott Livermore, ICAEW Economic Advisor, and Chief Economist and Managing Director, Oxford Economics Middle East, stated: "Saudi Arabia and the UAE are entering 2026 with strong foundations. Saudi non-oil activity is getting speed, supported by robust need and rising financial investment, even as financial pressures increase.""The UAE continues to gain from solid domestic principles, a sharp uplift in government spending and sustained diversity efforts.
Forward-Thinking Operational Models for 2026 EcosystemsWhat identifies 2026 from preceding years is not merely the acceleration of technological change, though that velocity is real, however rather a basic shift in how business envisage their GCCs' purpose. The is anticipated to grow to 4 hundred thirteen billion dollars by 2040, but this development masks a more extensive improvement.
Rather, they ask whether these centers drive innovation, own profit-and-loss obligation, and contribute to competitive distinction. In 2026, the most successful GCCs will act like internal startups, nimble, cross-functional, insight-driven, and deeply aligned with global company results. This shift from execution to ownership represents perhaps the single most considerable tactical recalibration in the GCC design's development.
Today, we're convening more than 3000 conferences between investors and 119 Gulf-listed companies with a combined worth of $2.4 trillion at the HSBC GCC Exchanges Conference 2026, in London. We're combining financiers, companies, exchanges, and policymakers to discuss what is changing in the region, and what follows, consisting of the expansion and continuous advancement of the Gulf's capital markets, and the area's growing role in global networks of capital and trade.
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